NFL: Late Afternoon Kickoffs (4:05 PM ET, FOX & CBS)
Three games grace the NFL late afternoon betting board, highlighted by Pittsburgh traveling to Foxboro to take on the Patriots in a battle of AFC playoff contenders.
2008-11-28
Three games grace the NFL late afternoon betting board, highlighted by Pittsburgh traveling to Foxboro to take on the Patriots in a battle of AFC playoff contenders. Elsewhere, the Chargers hope to keep their feint postseason hopes alive when they welcome Atlanta to town. The Falcons find themselves in the thick of things in the NFC. A little up the coast, Oakland hosts Kansas City in a game with little meaning other than the 3-point line accompanying it. See who your colleagues are siding with in these games by visiting the BETTING TRENDS page.
(405) ATLANTA at (406) SAN DIEGO
Atlanta and San Diego are in positions where they can’t afford to lose too many more games to keep their playoff hopes in place. Of course, after last week’s win over Carolina, Atlanta’s room for error is much greater. Nothing shy of a second ever franchise win over the Falcons will do for San Diego. The Chargers are just 1-6 all-time vs. Atlanta, having not won in the head-to-head series since ’88. Other trends wouldn’t indicate the Chargers have the edge here though. They are 10-2 ATS in their L12 vs. good rushing teams averaging 130 RYPG or more, while Atlanta has gone just 9-25 in the second half of the season vs. good offenses scoring 24 PPG or more. However, the Falcons are on an 11-5 ATS run vs. the AFC, including two wins in ’08.
StatFox Power Line says: San Diego by 5
(407) PITTSBURGH at (408) NEW ENGLAND
Pittsburgh visited New England in a high profile game a year ago and in the face of guarantees by Steelers’ players, the Patriots prevailed 34-13. The extra motivation helped propel New England to its only ATS win in its final nine games of the ’07 season. Well, in ’08, the stakes are again high for the teams’ week 13 matchup, with 8-3 Pittsburgh leading the AFC North and the 7-4 Pats in the thick of the playoff race as well. HC Bill Belichick’s team has owned the Steelers of late, going 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in the L8 head-to-head meeting. New England also owns the matchup edge, with a 22-9 ATS home record vs. good defenses giving up 17 PPG or less. HC Mike Tomlin’s team has played very well on the road though, going 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS while allowing just 3.9 YPP.
StatFox Game Estimator says: New England 22, Pittsburgh 20
(409) KANSAS CITY at (410) OAKLAND
In the span of the last 20 weeks of NFL regular season action, the Chiefs and Raiders have won just six games combined. As crazy as it sounds, Oakland owns five of those victories, the latest coming in a huge upset last week in Denver. Kansas City has been that bad, losing 19 of its L20 games, a franchise mark for futility. HC Herm Edwards’ team may have hit rock bottom in losing to Buffalo, allowing 51 points. Over their L7 games, the Chiefs are allowing 32.4 PPG. However, they are 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS in Oakland. Even though the Raiders (-3) are favored for the first time in 20 games, it remains to be seen whether they can take advantage. They are on a 0-6 ATS run as home chalk, and own a 2-10 ATS record vs. bad defenses yielding 5.65 yards per play or more.
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating says: Oakland by 4
2008-11-28
Three games grace the NFL late afternoon betting board, highlighted by Pittsburgh traveling to Foxboro to take on the Patriots in a battle of AFC playoff contenders. Elsewhere, the Chargers hope to keep their feint postseason hopes alive when they welcome Atlanta to town. The Falcons find themselves in the thick of things in the NFC. A little up the coast, Oakland hosts Kansas City in a game with little meaning other than the 3-point line accompanying it. See who your colleagues are siding with in these games by visiting the BETTING TRENDS page.
(405) ATLANTA at (406) SAN DIEGO
Atlanta and San Diego are in positions where they can’t afford to lose too many more games to keep their playoff hopes in place. Of course, after last week’s win over Carolina, Atlanta’s room for error is much greater. Nothing shy of a second ever franchise win over the Falcons will do for San Diego. The Chargers are just 1-6 all-time vs. Atlanta, having not won in the head-to-head series since ’88. Other trends wouldn’t indicate the Chargers have the edge here though. They are 10-2 ATS in their L12 vs. good rushing teams averaging 130 RYPG or more, while Atlanta has gone just 9-25 in the second half of the season vs. good offenses scoring 24 PPG or more. However, the Falcons are on an 11-5 ATS run vs. the AFC, including two wins in ’08.
StatFox Power Line says: San Diego by 5
(407) PITTSBURGH at (408) NEW ENGLAND
Pittsburgh visited New England in a high profile game a year ago and in the face of guarantees by Steelers’ players, the Patriots prevailed 34-13. The extra motivation helped propel New England to its only ATS win in its final nine games of the ’07 season. Well, in ’08, the stakes are again high for the teams’ week 13 matchup, with 8-3 Pittsburgh leading the AFC North and the 7-4 Pats in the thick of the playoff race as well. HC Bill Belichick’s team has owned the Steelers of late, going 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in the L8 head-to-head meeting. New England also owns the matchup edge, with a 22-9 ATS home record vs. good defenses giving up 17 PPG or less. HC Mike Tomlin’s team has played very well on the road though, going 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS while allowing just 3.9 YPP.
StatFox Game Estimator says: New England 22, Pittsburgh 20
(409) KANSAS CITY at (410) OAKLAND
In the span of the last 20 weeks of NFL regular season action, the Chiefs and Raiders have won just six games combined. As crazy as it sounds, Oakland owns five of those victories, the latest coming in a huge upset last week in Denver. Kansas City has been that bad, losing 19 of its L20 games, a franchise mark for futility. HC Herm Edwards’ team may have hit rock bottom in losing to Buffalo, allowing 51 points. Over their L7 games, the Chiefs are allowing 32.4 PPG. However, they are 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS in Oakland. Even though the Raiders (-3) are favored for the first time in 20 games, it remains to be seen whether they can take advantage. They are on a 0-6 ATS run as home chalk, and own a 2-10 ATS record vs. bad defenses yielding 5.65 yards per play or more.
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating says: Oakland by 4
NFL: Late Afternoon Kickoffs (4:05 PM ET, FOX & CBS) News
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